Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.405638 1.611747 1.838187 2.105527 2.412692 2.754765 3.164905
2025-07-06 1.052733 1.306453 1.608199 1.993924 2.474592 3.054778 3.809756
2025-07-13 0.890586 1.183403 1.556365 2.067201 2.750418 3.635172 4.872150
2025-07-20 0.775665 1.094945 1.527081 2.156423 3.052867 4.289000 6.132094
2025-07-27 0.680175 1.013517 1.489904 2.223004 3.328169 4.940960 7.489842
2025-08-03 0.594737 0.930540 1.434609 2.250016 3.544181 5.532646 8.846660
2025-08-10 0.506065 0.827576 1.332159 2.186264 3.606842 5.894505 9.896814
2025-08-17 0.425296 0.724125 1.212577 2.074434 3.570823 6.086838 10.689922
2025-08-24 0.374922 0.662977 1.152141 2.049640 3.672273 6.513945 11.937372
2025-08-31 0.330780 0.605942 1.090169 2.011681 3.742113 6.890594 13.143297
2025-09-07 0.311032 0.589468 1.096575 2.096282 4.043627 7.720248 15.308855
2025-09-14 0.286745 0.561058 1.077032 2.128550 4.248778 8.393911 17.267118
2025-09-21 0.256952 0.519308 1.029221 2.104077 4.348935 8.896673 19.001101
2025-09-28 0.223265 0.465334 0.950714 2.007323 4.289405 9.072439 20.085457
2025-10-05 0.211597 0.454885 0.958251 2.090150 4.619085 10.104769 23.199982
2025-10-12 0.202010 0.447483 0.971030 2.185945 4.991132 11.282740 26.839341
2025-10-19 0.191083 0.435611 0.972561 2.256830 5.317494 12.406540 30.539818
2025-10-26 0.178037 0.417156 0.957050 2.286267 5.551563 13.351582 33.964588
2025-11-02 0.159977 0.384627 0.905303 2.222610 5.552466 13.741732 36.060621
2025-11-09 0.140929 0.347193 0.837247 2.109518 5.413934 13.768546 37.215376
2025-11-16 0.129283 0.326338 0.806228 2.084665 5.496348 14.364269 39.993729
2025-11-23 0.118104 0.305192 0.771806 2.046255 5.537678 14.859415 42.579145
2025-11-30 0.114368 0.302697 0.783989 2.132472 5.927242 16.341027 48.226993